Forecasting in Transport Systems

Major: Transport technology (by Automobile Transport)
Code of subject: 6.275.03.E.097
Credits: 3.50
Department: Transport Technologies
Lecturer: PhD Hrytsun Oleh
Semester: 7 семестр
Mode of study: денна
Мета вивчення дисципліни: To form knowledge bases necessary for understanding the principles of development of forecasting in transport networks, their types, evaluation and modeling.
Завдання: ZK 12. Knowledge and understanding of the subject area and understanding professional activity; ZK 13. Ability to abstract thinking, analysis and synthesis FC 1. Ability to analyze and forecast parameters and indicators functioning of transport systems and technologies with taking into account the influence of the external environment. FC 7. Ability to optimize logistics operations and coordinate order for the transportation of goods from the manufacturer to the consumer, comply with laws, rules and requirements of management systems quality FC 13. Ability to evaluate plans and proposals for organization and transportation technologies compiled by other entities and to contribute necessary changes based on technical and operational parameters and principles of operation of transport facilities and devices infrastructure, vehicles. FCS. 1.3. Ability to manage supply chains and management stocks
Learning outcomes: 1. Classify and identify transport processes and systems. Evaluate parameters of transport systems. Perform system analysis and forecasting of the operation of transport systems; 2. To evaluate the parameters of transport flows. Design schemes and networks of transport systems. Develop technologies operational management of traffic flows;
Required prior and related subjects: Interaction of modes of transport. System analysis. Transport and logistics hubs. Inventory management.
Summary of the subject: 1. Transport network as an element of the transport system. 2. Factors and patterns of development of transport networks. 3. Typology of transport networks. 4. Modeling and optimization of transport networks. 5. Basic indicators of network evaluation. 6. Basic characteristics of network connectivity. 7. Mathematical approaches to traffic management in the city. 8. Bress paradox and transport networks. 9. Directions for reducing traffic congestion of urban transport networks.
Опис: 1. Basic indicators of transportation network forecasting. 2. Factors affecting the development of transport networks. 3. Modeling and forecasting of transport networks. 4. Indicators of evaluation of the pronation of transport networks. 5. Mathematical forecasting of transport networks. 6. Trends in the development of transport networks. 7. Mathematical approaches to the management of transport flows.
Assessment methods and criteria: • orally reporting to the practical work of lecture material through a control measure in a test (30%) • online-writing exam in virtual learning environment of Lviv Polytechnic National University (70%)
Критерії оцінювання результатів навчання: • written reports on practical works, oral survey (40%) • final control (60%, control measure, exam): written and oral form (60%)
Recommended books: 1. Brailovsky NO Management of traffic / NO Brailovsky, BI Granovsky. - M .: Transport, 1975. - 112 p. 2. Inose X. Traffic management / Inose X., Hamada T. // trans. under ed. M. Ya. Blinkin. - M .: Transport, 1983. - 248 p. 3. Lobanov EM Transport planning of cities / Lobanov EM - M .: Transport, 1990. - 240 p. 4. Systemology in transport. Organization of traffic / EV Gavrilov, MF Dmitrichenko, VK Dolya, etc .; ed. MF Dmitrichenko. - Kyiv: Knowledge of Ukraine, 2007. - 452 p. - (5 books / EV Gavrilov, MF Dmitrichenko, VK Dolya and others; book 4)