Home/ Majors directory/Business, Trade and Exchange Activities/Modeling and Forecasting in E-commerce
Modeling and Forecasting in E-commerce
Major: Business, Trade and Exchange Activities
Code of subject: 6.076.04.E.078
Credits: 5.00
Department: Ecological Politics and Environment Protection Management
Lecturer: Dr. Prof. R. Slav`yuk
Semester: 7 семестр
Mode of study: денна
Завдання: Integral competence (INT)
The ability to solve complex tasks and problems in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or exchange activity or in the process of learning, which involves conducting research and/or implementing innovations under uncertain conditions and requirements.
General competences (CG)
ZK 1. Ability to adapt and act in a new situation.
ZK 2. The ability to identify, pose and solve problems.
ZK 5. Determination and persistence in relation to assigned tasks and assumed responsibilities.
Special (professional) competences (S(F)K)
SC 2. The ability to evaluate products, goods and services in business, trade and/or stock exchange activities.
SK 3. Ability to effectively manage the activities of business entities in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or stock market activity.
SK 4. Ability to solve problematic issues and make management decisions in professional activities.
Learning outcomes: Autonomy and responsibility (AB)
AB2 Responsibility for the development of professional knowledge and practices, assessment of the team's strategic development.
AB3 Ability to further study which is largely autonomous and self-directed.
RN1. To be able to adapt and show initiative and independence in situations that arise in professional activity.
PH2. Identify and analyze the problems of entrepreneurship, trade and stock exchange activity and develop measures to solve them.
RN5. To be able to professionally, in full and with creative self-realization perform assigned tasks and activities.
RN7. Determine and implement strategic plans for the development of economic entities in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or stock market activity
RN9. Develop and make decisions aimed at ensuring the efficiency of business entities in the field of business, trade and/or stock exchange activities.
RN10. To be able to solve problematic issues that arise in the activities of business, trade and/or stock exchange structures under conditions of uncertainty and risks.
ЗН1 Specialized conceptual knowledge acquired in the process of study and/or professional activity at the level of the latest achievements, which is the basis for original thinking and innovative activity, in particular in the context of research work
ЗН2 Critical understanding of problems in education and/or professional activity and at the border of subject areas
Skills (Skills):
УМ1 Solving complex problems of problems that require updating and integration of knowledge, often in conditions of incomplete/insufficient information and conflicting requirements
UM2 Conducting research and/or innovative activities
Required prior and related subjects: Prerequisites: Methods of empirical market research
Requirements: Business planning and audit of investment projects
Postrequisites: Commercial risk management
Summary of the subject: The discipline will enable the formation of theoretical knowledge and practical skills in modeling and forecasting of the country's economic and social development, so that the student, having mastered the program material, will be able to characterize the methods and models of optimization of transfer flows. The ability to solve complex specialized tasks and practical problems during professional activity in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and exchange activity or in the process of learning, which involves the application of theories and methods of trade entrepreneurship and is characterized by the complexity and uncertainty of conditions.
Опис: Topic 1. Methodological foundations of forecasting economic processes
1. Basic concepts, goals and tasks of forecasting economic processes. Stages and principles of forecasting
2. Prediction as an anticipatory reflection of reality
3. Forecasting and planning, their tasks, similarities and differences
4. The place of forecasting among the functions of managing socio-economic processes
5. Types and purpose of forecasts, methods and parameters of forecasts
Topic 2. Economic efficiency of the enterprise's commercial activity
1. The essence of economic efficiency
2. The main indicators of evaluating the effectiveness of commercial activity.
Topic 3. Use of methods of forecasting the economic efficiency of the enterprise's commercial activity
1. The concept of a trend, methods of establishing the presence of a trend
2. Simple methods of trend extrapolation extrapolation based on analytical indicators of dynamics series, extrapolation based on moving average
Topic 4. Economics - mathematical and statistical methods of evaluating and forecasting the effectiveness of commercial activity
1. Methods of evaluating the effectiveness of commercial activity in the forecasting system
3. Determination of model values
5. Smoothing models with a trend.
Topic 5. Fundamental and technical analysis in the system of forecasting the economic efficiency of the commercial activity of enterprises
1. Modern methods of fundamental analysis and forecasting
2. Technical analysis
3. The use of fundamental and technical analysis to build forecasts
Topic 6. Use of technical means in the forecasting process
Software in the forecasting process
Use of licensed software products
Topic 7. Use of forecasting results in business processes and formation of cross-industry balances
Assessment methods and criteria: Current control (40%): practical work, oral examination, test control.
Final control (60%): exam; test tasks (40%); oral component (20%).
Критерії оцінювання результатів навчання: 5 points for knowledge of the educational material of the module contained in the main and additional recommended literary sources, the ability to analyze the phenomena being studied in their relationship and development.
4 points for knowledge of the educational material of the module contained in the main and additional recommended literary sources, the ability to analyze the phenomena being studied.
3 points for mediocre knowledge of the educational material.
2). testing students' knowledge of theoretical material:
0.1 point for one correct answer of each of the 150 tests
Порядок та критерії виставляння балів та оцінок: 100-88 points - certified with an “excellent” grade - High level: the student demonstrates an in-depth mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline, systematic knowledge, skills and abilities of their practical application. The mastered knowledge, skills and abilities provide the ability to independently formulate goals and organize learning activities, search and find solutions in non-standard, atypical educational and professional situations. The applicant demonstrates the ability to make generalizations based on critical analysis of factual material, ideas, theories and concepts, to formulate conclusions based on them. His/her activity is based on interest and motivation for self-development, continuous professional development, independent research activities, implemented with the support and guidance of the teacher. 87-71 points - certified with a grade of “good” - Sufficient level: involves mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline at an advanced level, conscious use of knowledge, skills and abilities to reveal the essence of the issue. Possession of a partially structured set of knowledge provides the ability to apply it in familiar educational and professional situations. Aware of the specifics of tasks and learning situations, the student demonstrates the ability to search for and choose their solution according to the given sample, to argue for the use of a particular method of solving the problem. Their activities are based on interest and motivation for self-development and continuous professional development. 70-50 points - certified with a grade of “satisfactory” - Satisfactory level: outlines the mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline at the average level, partial awareness of educational and professional tasks, problems and situations, knowledge of ways to solve typical problems and tasks. The applicant demonstrates an average level of skills and abilities to apply knowledge in practice, and solving problems requires assistance, support from a model. The basis of learning activities is situational and heuristic, dominated by motives of duty, unconscious use of opportunities for self-development. 49-00 points - certified with a grade of “unsatisfactory” - Unsatisfactory level: indicates an elementary mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline, a general understanding of the content of the educational material, partial use of knowledge, skills and abilities. The basis of learning activities is situational and pragmatic interest.
Recommended books: Golikov V.I. Transfer of technologies: Training manual. — Mykolaiv: NUK, 2015. — 362 p.
2. Kosarev O.Y. Financial flows in logistics systems: teaching. manual / O. Y. Kosarev, O. V. Pozniak – K.: NAU-druk, 2015. – 246 p.
3. Slav'yuk R. A., Shkvarchuk L. O. Financial analysis of the commercial activity of the enterprise: a study guide. – Lviv: Prostir-M, 2021. – 305 p.
4. Financial analysis. Edited by Shkolnyk I. O. Study guide. K.: Tsul. 2016.- 368 p.
5. Sklabinska A. I. Financial analysis. Study guide. Lviv: Scientific World - 2000. – 2018.- 342 p.
6. Zagursky O. Financial analysis. K.: Center of educational literature. 2019- 470 p.
7 Slav'yuk R. A. Dictionary of economic terms. – Lviv: Prostir-M, 2022. – 190 p.
Pomykalska Bozyna, Pomykalski Przemyslaw. Analiza finansowa przedsiebiorstwa. Wskazniki i decyzje w zarzadzaniu. Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, 2017. - 454 s.
8. Слав’юк Р. А., Шкварчук Л. О., Кондрат І. Ю. Financial market imbalance: reasons and peculiarities of occurrence in Ukraine (Дисбаланси фінансового ринку: причини та особливості прояву в Україні). Investment Management and Financial Innovations. 2017. Volume 14. Issue 1. Pp. 227-235 (фахове видання), віднесено до Міжнародної наукометричної бази даних Scopus.
9. Шкварчук Л. О., Слав’юк Р. А. The evaluation of companies’ investment attractiveness based on сash flow analys (Аналіз грошових потоків у системі оцінювання інвестиційної привабливості підприємств). Financial and credit activity: problems of theory and practice. 2017. No. 1. С.158-171 (фахове видання), віднесено до Міжнародної наукометричної бази даних Web of Science.
10.Shkvarchuk L., Slav’yuk R. Households’ credit demand: main trends and characteristics for Ukraine // Банки і банківські системи. – 2021. – Vol. 16, iss. 3. – P. 13–22. (SCOPUS). (https://www.businessperspectives.org/index.php/journals/banks-and-bank-systems/issue-389/households-credit-demand-main-trends-and-characteristics-for-ukraine)
11. Shkvarchuk L., Slav’yuk R. Households’ credit demand: main trends and characteristics for Ukraine // Банки і системи банку. – 2021. – Vol. 16, iss. 3. – P. 13–22. (sciverse SCOPUS).
12. PAWEL DEBSKI DAMIAN DEBSKI Planowanie, analiza ekonomiczna i sprawozdawczosc, wydawnictwo: WsiP 2013– 230 s.
13. Franciszek Blawat Podstawy analizy ekonomicznej Teorie, przyklady, zadania. Wydawnictwo: CeDeWu. – 2020 – 282s.
Уніфікований додаток: Lviv Polytechnic National University ensures the realization of the right of persons with disabilities to obtain higher education. Inclusive educational services are provided by the Service of accessibility to learning opportunities "Without restrictions", the purpose of which is to provide permanent individual support for the educational process of students with disabilities and chronic diseases. An important tool for the implementation of the inclusive educational policy at the University is the Program for improving the qualifications of scientific and pedagogical workers and educational and support staff in the field of social inclusion and inclusive education. Contact at:
St. Karpinsky, 2/4, 1st floor, room 112
E-mail: nolimits@lpnu.ua
Websites: https://lpnu.ua/nolimits https://lpnu.ua/integration
Академічна доброчесність: The policy regarding the academic integrity of the participants of the educational process is formed on the basis of compliance with the principles of academic integrity, taking into account the norms "Regulations on academic integrity at the Lviv Polytechnic National University" (approved by the academic council of the university on June 20, 2017, protocol No. 35).
Modeling and Forecasting in E-commerce (курсовий проєкт)
Major: Business, Trade and Exchange Activities
Code of subject: 6.076.04.E.079
Credits: 3.00
Department: Ecological Politics and Environment Protection Management
Lecturer: Dr. Prof. R. Slav`yuk
Semester: 7 семестр
Mode of study: денна
Завдання: Integral competence (INT)
The ability to solve complex tasks and problems in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or exchange activity or in the process of learning, which involves conducting research and/or implementing innovations under uncertain conditions and requirements.
General competences (CG)
ZK 1. Ability to adapt and act in a new situation.
ZK 2. The ability to identify, pose and solve problems.
ZK 5. Determination and persistence in relation to assigned tasks and assumed responsibilities.
Special (professional) competences (S(F)K)
SC 2. The ability to evaluate products, goods and services in business, trade and/or stock exchange activities.
SK 3. Ability to effectively manage the activities of business entities in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or stock market activity.
SK 4. Ability to solve problematic issues and make management decisions in professional activities.
Learning outcomes: Autonomy and responsibility (AB)
AB2 Responsibility for the development of professional knowledge and practices, assessment of the team's strategic development.
AB3 Ability to further study which is largely autonomous and self-directed.
RN1. To be able to adapt and show initiative and independence in situations that arise in professional activity.
PH2. Identify and analyze the problems of entrepreneurship, trade and stock exchange activity and develop measures to solve them.
RN5. To be able to professionally, in full and with creative self-realization perform assigned tasks and activities.
RN7. Determine and implement strategic plans for the development of economic entities in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and/or stock market activity
RN9. Develop and make decisions aimed at ensuring the efficiency of business entities in the field of business, trade and/or stock exchange activities.
RN10. To be able to solve problematic issues that arise in the activities of business, trade and/or stock exchange structures under conditions of uncertainty and risks.
ЗН1 Specialized conceptual knowledge acquired in the process of study and/or professional activity at the level of the latest achievements, which is the basis for original thinking and innovative activity, in particular in the context of research work
ЗН2 Critical understanding of problems in education and/or professional activity and at the border of subject areas
Skills (Skills):
УМ1 Solving complex problems of problems that require updating and integration of knowledge, often in conditions of incomplete/insufficient information and conflicting requirements
UM2 Conducting research and/or innovative activities
Required prior and related subjects: Prerequisites: Methods of empirical market research
Requirements: Business planning and audit of investment projects
Postrequisites: Commercial risk management
Summary of the subject: The discipline will enable the formation of theoretical knowledge and practical skills in modeling and forecasting of the country's economic and social development, so that the student, having mastered the program material, will be able to characterize the methods and models of optimization of transfer flows. The ability to solve complex specialized tasks and practical problems during professional activity in the field of entrepreneurship, trade and exchange activity or in the process of learning, which involves the application of theories and methods of trade entrepreneurship and is characterized by the complexity and uncertainty of conditions.
Опис: Basic concepts, goals and tasks of forecasting economic processes. Stages and principles of forecasting
Prediction as an anticipatory reflection of reality
Forecasting and planning, their tasks, similarities and differences
The place of forecasting among the functions of managing socio-economic processes
Types and purpose of forecasts, methods and parameters of forecasts
The essence of economic efficiency
The main indicators of evaluating the effectiveness of commercial activity.
The concept of a trend, methods of establishing the presence of a trend
Simple methods of trend extrapolation extrapolation based on analytical indicators of dynamics series, extrapolation based on moving average
Methods of evaluating the effectiveness of commercial activity in the forecasting system
Determination of model values
Smoothing models with a trend.
Software in the forecasting process
Use of licensed software products
Assessment methods and criteria: Еxam (100%).
Критерії оцінювання результатів навчання: Current and settlement control. Knowledge assessment methods: checking sections of the course project, oral survey, presentation and defense of the course project.
Порядок та критерії виставляння балів та оцінок: 100-88 points - certified with an “excellent” grade - High level: the student demonstrates an in-depth mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline, systematic knowledge, skills and abilities of their practical application. The mastered knowledge, skills and abilities provide the ability to independently formulate goals and organize learning activities, search and find solutions in non-standard, atypical educational and professional situations. The applicant demonstrates the ability to make generalizations based on critical analysis of factual material, ideas, theories and concepts, to formulate conclusions based on them. His/her activity is based on interest and motivation for self-development, continuous professional development, independent research activities, implemented with the support and guidance of the teacher. 87-71 points - certified with a grade of “good” - Sufficient level: involves mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline at an advanced level, conscious use of knowledge, skills and abilities to reveal the essence of the issue. Possession of a partially structured set of knowledge provides the ability to apply it in familiar educational and professional situations. Aware of the specifics of tasks and learning situations, the student demonstrates the ability to search for and choose their solution according to the given sample, to argue for the use of a particular method of solving the problem. Their activities are based on interest and motivation for self-development and continuous professional development. 70-50 points - certified with a grade of “satisfactory” - Satisfactory level: outlines the mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline at the average level, partial awareness of educational and professional tasks, problems and situations, knowledge of ways to solve typical problems and tasks. The applicant demonstrates an average level of skills and abilities to apply knowledge in practice, and solving problems requires assistance, support from a model. The basis of learning activities is situational and heuristic, dominated by motives of duty, unconscious use of opportunities for self-development. 49-00 points - certified with a grade of “unsatisfactory” - Unsatisfactory level: indicates an elementary mastery of the conceptual and categorical apparatus of the discipline, a general understanding of the content of the educational material, partial use of knowledge, skills and abilities. The basis of learning activities is situational and pragmatic interest.
Recommended books: Golikov V.I. Transfer of technologies: Training manual. — Mykolaiv: NUK, 2015. — 362 p.
2. Kosarev O.Y. Financial flows in logistics systems: teaching. manual / O. Y. Kosarev, O. V. Pozniak – K.: NAU-druk, 2015. – 246 p.
3. Slav'yuk R. A., Shkvarchuk L. O. Financial analysis of the commercial activity of the enterprise: a study guide. – Lviv: Prostir-M, 2021. – 305 p.
4. Financial analysis. Edited by Shkolnyk I. O. Study guide. K.: Tsul. 2016.- 368 p.
5. Sklabinska A. I. Financial analysis. Study guide. Lviv: Scientific World - 2000. – 2018.- 342 p.
6. Zagursky O. Financial analysis. K.: Center of educational literature. 2019- 470 p.
7 Slav'yuk R. A. Dictionary of economic terms. – Lviv: Prostir-M, 2022. – 190 p.
Pomykalska Bozyna, Pomykalski Przemyslaw. Analiza finansowa przedsiebiorstwa. Wskazniki i decyzje w zarzadzaniu. Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, 2017. - 454 s.
8. Слав’юк Р. А., Шкварчук Л. О., Кондрат І. Ю. Financial market imbalance: reasons and peculiarities of occurrence in Ukraine (Дисбаланси фінансового ринку: причини та особливості прояву в Україні). Investment Management and Financial Innovations. 2017. Volume 14. Issue 1. Pp. 227-235 (фахове видання), віднесено до Міжнародної наукометричної бази даних Scopus.
9. Шкварчук Л. О., Слав’юк Р. А. The evaluation of companies’ investment attractiveness based on сash flow analys (Аналіз грошових потоків у системі оцінювання інвестиційної привабливості підприємств). Financial and credit activity: problems of theory and practice. 2017. No. 1. С.158-171 (фахове видання), віднесено до Міжнародної наукометричної бази даних Web of Science.
10.Shkvarchuk L., Slav’yuk R. Households’ credit demand: main trends and characteristics for Ukraine // Банки і банківські системи. – 2021. – Vol. 16, iss. 3. – P. 13–22. (SCOPUS). (https://www.businessperspectives.org/index.php/journals/banks-and-bank-systems/issue-389/households-credit-demand-main-trends-and-characteristics-for-ukraine)
11. Shkvarchuk L., Slav’yuk R. Households’ credit demand: main trends and characteristics for Ukraine // Банки і системи банку. – 2021. – Vol. 16, iss. 3. – P. 13–22. (sciverse SCOPUS).
12. PAWEL DEBSKI DAMIAN DEBSKI Planowanie, analiza ekonomiczna i sprawozdawczosc, wydawnictwo: WsiP 2013– 230 s.
13. Franciszek Blawat Podstawy analizy ekonomicznej Teorie, przyklady, zadania. Wydawnictwo: CeDeWu. – 2020 – 282s.
Уніфікований додаток: Lviv Polytechnic National University ensures the realization of the right of persons with disabilities to obtain higher education. Inclusive educational services are provided by the Service of accessibility to learning opportunities "Without restrictions", the purpose of which is to provide permanent individual support for the educational process of students with disabilities and chronic diseases. An important tool for the implementation of the inclusive educational policy at the University is the Program for improving the qualifications of scientific and pedagogical workers and educational and support staff in the field of social inclusion and inclusive education. Contact at:
St. Karpinsky, 2/4, 1st floor, room 112
E-mail: nolimits@lpnu.ua
Websites: https://lpnu.ua/nolimits https://lpnu.ua/integration
Академічна доброчесність: The policy regarding the academic integrity of the participants of the educational process is formed on the basis of compliance with the principles of academic integrity, taking into account the norms "Regulations on academic integrity at the Lviv Polytechnic National University" (approved by the academic council of the university on June 20, 2017, protocol No. 35).