Forecasting of Economic Processes

Major: Management of Organizations and Administration (by economic activities)
Code of subject: 7.073.01.E.038
Credits: 4.00
Department: Organizational Management
Lecturer: Assoc. Prof. Yulia Viktorivna Voitsekhovska Assoc. Prof. Tetyana Volodymyrivna Kulinich,
Semester: 2 семестр
Mode of study: денна
Learning outcomes: 1)the ability to demonstrate knowledge and understanding of modern problems of society; 2) the ability to reveal the socio-economic nature of the phenomena and processes of economic activity of organizations, assess the impact on economic processes of external factors, trends in the world economy, have a holistic view of the organization, analyze and use historical experience in solving current problems of domestic economy; 3) to develop strategic, tactical and operational plans for current activities, plans for providing resources of all kinds, business plans and monitor their implementation; 4) to make sound strategic marketing decisions, combine various economic and mathematical methods and models of planning, organizing and evaluating the effectiveness of economic activities of enterprises and organizations.
Required prior and related subjects: Prerequisites: Enterprise’ Strategic Management Co-requisites: Marketing Management in medium and small business
Summary of the subject: Methodological basis of forecasting economic processes. The sequence of development of economic forecasts. The methods of technical analysis. Extrapolation methods. Pair and multiple regression in predicting economic processes. Expert forecasting methods. Evaluation of forecasts. The system of economic forecasting. Modeling economic development organization.
Assessment methods and criteria: • written reports on laboratory workshops, recitation, tests (40%) • final control (60% control measure, exam), written-oral form (60%)
Recommended books: 1.Сайт Державного комітету статистики України. – Режим доступу : www.ukrstat.gov.ua. 2.Сайт Національного банку України. – Режим доступу : www.bank. gov.ua. 3. Войцеховська Ю.В.,Новаківський І. І.Основи статистичного прогнозування економічних процесів: навч.посібник. Львів, «Новий світ -2000», 2020.- 200с. 4. Т.С.Клебанова, В.А.Курзенев, Наумов В.М. та ін. Прогнозування соціально-економічних процесів: навч.посібник.-Харків.: ХНЕУ ім..С.Кузнеця, 2015 - 656с. 5. Геєць В. М. Моделі і методи соціально-економічного прогнозування : підручник / В. М. Геєць, Т. С. Клебанова, О. І. Черняк та ін. – Х. : ВД "ІНЖЕК", 2005. – 396 с. 6. Клебанова Т. С. Методы и модели прогнозирования социально-экономических процессов : учебн. пособ. / Т. С. Клебанова, В. А. Курзенев, В. Н. Наумов и др. – СПб. : Издательство СЗИУ РАНХ и ГС, 2012. – 566 с. 7. Клебанова Т. С. Методы прогнозирования : учебн. пособ. / Т. С. Клебанова, В. В. Иванов, Н. А. Дубровина. – Х. : Изд. ХГЭУ, 2002. – 372 с. 8. Brigham, E. F. Financial Management: Theory and Practice: 13th Edition / Eugene F. Brigham, Michael C. Ehrhardt. – USA : South-Western Cengage Learning, 2011. - 1152 р. 9. Damodaran A. Applied Corporate Finance : 3rd ed. / Aswath Damodaran. – USA : John Wiley &Sons, Inc., 2011. – 738 p. 10. Choudhary N. Optimal Balance of Financial Instruments: Long-Term Management, Market Volatility & Proposed Changes / Nishant Choudhary. - USA : George Washington University Law School, LL.M, 2011. – 520 p. 11. Антилл Н. Оценка компаний: анализ и прогнозирование с использованием отчетности по МСФО : пер. с англ. / Ник Антилл, Кеннет Ли. - Москва : Альпина Паблишер, 2013. - 437 с. [Пер. изд. : Company valuation under IFRS interpreting and forecasting accounts using international financial reporting standards / Nick Antill, Kenneth Lee].